Going into the last weekend of baseball for 2005 I’m ahead by 4 points in my bet with Jerry. In reviewing the schedule I’d say the final weekend match ups slightly favor me. Jerry has his American League winners playing each other and his American League losers doing the same thing. So he is guaranteed one point for each of those six games. However, looking at the 159 sets of games played so far this season I average 4.465 points for every full game day (out of eight teams) and Jerry averages 4.440. Or another way to look at it is that my teams do what i predicted 55.8% of the time and his 55.5% of the time. Because of this American League match ups the best he can do over the final weekend in the American League is 50%. The other interesting aspect of this analysis is the fact that Jerry has been more successful with his American League picks this year. For him to win he needs to rely on his National League teams.
I’m not popping the cork and spraying my head with grape juice yet – but it is looking better than it did just 2 weeks ago.
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has anyone checked to make sure the score on that page is correct? I don’t think I made a mistake, but it is always possible.
as long as it shows me winning there is no reason to double check!
You left out all the double-headers!
I ran the score manually the first time Travis’ site showed me down by four. That coulcn’t possibly be correct. Unfortunately it appears to be functioning correctly. If anyone besides me followed Brad’s analysis, I would be a little worried. The way I look at it, I’m the only one who is guarranteed points this weekend and for sure I’ll get six. When you are down by four, that doesn’t look so bad.
math!